Cedi shows mixed performance as dollar reaches GHS 12.10

    Ghana cedi experiences weakening in interbank market while retail market strengthens against dollar, pound, and euro.

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    Cedi shows mixed performance as dollar reaches GHS 12.10

    The Ghana cedi is trading at GHS 12.10 against the US dollar at forex bureaus as it records a mixed performance in the retail market. This mixed movement follows a period where the currency weakened in the interbank market but strengthened in the retail sector.

    In the interbank market, the cedi depreciated against major international currencies. The mid-rate for the US dollar rose by 1.53%, reaching GHS 11.39 from its previous GHS 11.22. Additionally, the cedi lost ground against the British pound and the Euro, depreciating by 2.53% to GHS 15.21 and by 1.31% to GHS 13.03, respectively. This weakening suggests higher demand for foreign currency by banks and businesses.

    This performance fits into a broader trend of managing currency stability in Ghana. The Bank of Ghana (BoG) has frequently intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the cedi. Earlier central bank support aimed to keep the cedi below GHS 11.00 per US dollar. However, this target was slightly overshot, indicating persistent demand pressures despite interventions. Balancing stability with export competitiveness remains a key challenge for economic policymakers.

    Databank Research provided an outlook on the cedi's performance. They stated, “We still see a positive near-term outlook ahead of the Mid-Year Budget Review.” The research also highlighted specific challenges, noting that “the expected August -September rise in container imports could add pressure.” This suggests that increased import activity might lead to higher demand for foreign currency, potentially weakening the cedi later in the year.

    Looking ahead, market participants and policymakers will closely monitor the cedi's stability. The Bank of Ghana is expected to continue its efforts under the Ghana Accelerated National Reserve Accumulation Policy (GANRAP). This policy focuses on accumulating foreign currency reserves to cushion against economic shocks. The central bank will likely smooth out seasonal fluctuations in foreign exchange to support longer-term economic stability. The upcoming Mid-Year Budget Review will also provide further insights into fiscal policies that could impact currency management.

    The retail market showed a contrasting trend. Here, the cedi demonstrated resilience, appreciating by 0.42% against the US dollar to trade at GHS 12.00. The cedi also gained against other major currencies in the retail sector, appreciating 2.24% against the British pound to GHS 15.65 and 2.58% against the Euro to GHS 13.55. This appreciation in retail markets might reflect reduced speculative demand or increased foreign currency inflows from non-bank sources. Since January 1, 2026, the cedi has appreciated by 1.46% against the dollar in the retail market. This indicates some underlying strength in cash transactions outside the formal interbank system. The difference between interbank and retail rates highlights market segmentation and varying supply-demand dynamics.

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